Unprecedented steps by Beijing to snuff out a months-long rally in coal prices are casting fresh doubts on China’s drive to become a global price-setting hub for commodities worth trillions of dollars.
The world’s top consumer of many raw materials has been pushing to boost its influence on pricing of everything from iron ore to oil, mainly through steps such as promoting Chinese futures contracts as regional or global benchmarks.
But analysts and traders said that a wave of moves to cool coal prices, which surged as a side-effect of radical government measures to fight pollution by curbing mining, show that Beijing could be reluctant to let markets trade freely and openly.
“(Moves like those taken in coal markets) dampen hopes from investors that the government will be transparent,” said Wang Fei, a coal analyst in eastern China.
Soaring coal markets have sparked a weeks-long effort by China’s state economic planner, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), to rein in prices, culminating in Wednesday’s announcement that two of the nation’s top coal miners had signed long-term supply contracts with a utility at a quarter below current spot rates.
Market sources said the body had ramped up its meetings with coal miners to as many as three a week from the usual monthly gatherings. The latest meeting is scheduled for Friday.
Adding to its scrutiny over the market, the NDRC also said on Wednesday that it was vetting the sector for hoarding, as well as investigating a coal pricing data firm in the province of Shanxi for “problems” in its data.
While the NDRC did not give any details, FenWei Energy, a Shanxi-based coal data company, this week suspended its spot physical thermal coal price index – used as the domestic industry benchmark – saying its prices did not reflect the majority of business transacted in the country.
The NDRC did not respond to requests for comment.
Meanwhile, China’s three main commodity exchanges this week launched a series of fee and margin hikes in a coordinated effort to make it more expensive to trade everything from thermal coal to rubber to ferro-silicon to tame wild price swings.
With all these steps, the BSPI weekly index published on Thursday fell by 1 yuan per ton to 606 yuan per ton, its first drop in 4-1/2 months. Even so, the price remained close to historic highs supported by robust demand as the first cold spells of winter start to grip the country.
TRUE TO FORM?
The government has form when it comes to exerting pressure on financial markets. Past tactics have included halting margin trading in equities last year and changing trading limits and margin requirements for some commodity futures contracts earlier this year.
And the latest moves come just as the Shanghai International Energy Exchange, known as INE, prepares to launch a crude oil futures contract that will compete with established benchmarks in the United States and Europe. INE did not immediately respond to requests for comment on Friday.
“If NDRC can do this to the coal industry, it can deploy the same strategy with other commodities,” said Lin Boqiang, director at the energy institute at Xiamen University.
Source: ReutersPrevious Next
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