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Shanghai steel holds near 7-week top, iron ore extends losses

Chinese steel futures traded near a seven-week high on Thursday as construction demand in the world’s top steel user gets well underway.

Reflecting firm demand, Chinese traders’ stockpiles of construction steel product rebar have fallen 21 percent from a five-year high in mid-March to 7.69 million tonnes on April 20, data compiled by SteelHome consultancy showed.

The sustained decline in inventories shows seasonal construction demand had been picking up, although later than usual given that China’s annual parliament meeting last month followed the Lunar New Year break in February, said Helen Lau, analyst at Argonaut Securities in Hong Kong.

“Later is better than never,” she said.

The most-active October rebar contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange hit 3,613 yuan ($571) a tonne, its loftiest since March 8. It closed down 0.3 percent at 3,558 yuan.

Lau said escalating trade tensions between China and the United States may also prompt Beijing to take action to cushion any impact on its domestic economy, which should bode well for steel.

“I think China will be ready to provide stimulus to protect the domestic economy which will be supportive to steel demand assuming things will deteriorate between the U.S. and China,” she said.

The most-traded September iron ore on the Dalian Commodity Exchange dropped 1.1 percent to end at 465.50 yuan a tonne, slipping for a second session in a row, after a five-day rally that pushed the raw material to a one-month peak on Monday.

While iron ore prices should typically benefit from a firmer steel market, Lau said the commodity is under pressure “because so much iron ore is being produced for supply to China and inventory is still very high.”

Iron ore stocked at China’s ports stood at 159.78 million tonnes on April 20, not far below a record high of 161.68 million tonnes at the end of March, SteelHome data showed.

Iron ore for delivery to China’s Qingdao port dropped 1.3 percent to $66.38 a tonne on Wednesday, the weakest since April 18, according to Metal Bulletin.

Coking coal futures eased 0.2 percent to 1,168.50 yuan per tonne on Thursday, while coke fell 0.6 percent to 1,916 yuan.

Source: Reuters

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